- #46 [敗家仔], 20-08-09 22:34
- #45 [tobyxy], 20-08-09 21:47#43 先搞清楚美元價值同美元地位既分別先
- #44 [Chia], 20-08-09 21:06一係 peg, 一係 unpeg, 無中間
若 unpeg, 港元用什麼來支撐港元價值?軍力?創新?高地價?
況且果 30000億貯備,有無水份,得 hkma 先知.
老闆漠財,寫住欠單先
最後修改時間: 2020-08-09 21:08:44 -
- #43 [mrbeansr], 20-08-09 20:55https://hk.appledaily.com/finance/20200809/75BWBOXEANEERPMHCHGUYVKQDQ/
國金89樓】美元貶值 港幣應增升值彈性 - 程總裁
美滙指數近月低迷,目前在93徘徊,雖然非歷史低點,但市場上看淡美元聲音不絕於耳,對港元有甚麼影響?
美元背後沒有實質資產抵押,其價值來自市場對美國財政信心,亦基於美國經濟總體實力。自武漢肺炎疫情爆發後,美國大量發債、聯儲局積極量化寬鬆,本身已令財赤擴張,美元價值有憂慮。
另一樣是美國在國際社會影響力,因應特朗普退出或將會退出一些國際組織,令人懷疑美國是否仍是世界盟主;關稅等措施影響美國與國際往來,從而美元交易亦開始受到質疑。
至於特朗普大力封殺中概股,本身已影響美國集資市場地位,中資巨企在紐交所上市,讓內地投資者捨棄人幣兌美元投資,現時是中概股回流香港或上海上市,這些都會令美元使用量有所減少。
高盛明言美元面臨失去儲備貨幣地位風險,主要是美國量化寬鬆導致;此前大摩亞洲區前主席Stephen Roach提出美元未來一年急貶35%。惟目前未有其他更好貨幣取代,但至少歐元、人幣或會逐漸蠶蝕其領導地位。
港幣背後有價值3萬億港元外滙基金支持,資產主要是以美元計價,香港並奉行聯滙制度,將滙率的錨定於每美元兌7.8港元,上下可作0.05元的浮動,一觸發7.75或7.85將會引致金管局入市。
過去半年美國聯儲局大幅減息,而香港銀行業未減息情況下,套利交易令資金湧入本地;但現時兩種貨幣息差已趨平,金管局沽港元次數亦減少。而港元跟隨美元,兌其他貨幣亦開始貶值,以英鎊為例,每鎊近日曾經可兌10.2港元,如果美滙貶值三成以上,港幣亦攬炒跟貶。
中共一直想彰顯香港在國安法立法下,經濟未受任何影響;但基於聯滙下,港元兌美元升值有盡頭,他們會否研究加大升值彈性?例如7.75太睇小港元,酌量將強方設至7.65、7.55,令港元兌美元有升值空間。 - #42 [rickyp], 20-08-02 20:17做咩要放黃金係人哋國家?
- #41 [lym], 20-08-02 12:46自己的勾自己脱,不如主動晚啦!
- #40 [as09899], 20-08-02 12:09https://jamesz.pixnet.net/blog/post/29606259 美元成為國際貨幣地位由來。
- #39 [k_w_t], 20-08-02 10:54
- #38 [野性世界], 20-08-02 01:49美元岌岌可危咗好多次
美元岌岌可危咗好多年 - #37 [klinsmanner], 20-08-01 17:25今日美元好像突然抽升了,真要留意
- #36 [Ming Sir], 20-07-30 21:53我完全唔識財經及投資,但記得:
以前D人話如果滙豐玩完,香港都應該玩完......
咁如果美元玩完,係咪都差唔多世界未日呢?
最後修改時間: 2020-07-30 21:57:07 - #35 [shadowwho], 20-07-30 21:41小弟唔熟財經,不過還記得一個活生生的例子。 話說幾年前,因為金融海嘯後美國濫發銀紙,評級機構考慮降低美國國債評級。 結果美國國債真係被調低評級,但係價格反而急升。
點解? 因係每逢有金融危機,投資者就會買最安全資產避險,即係美國國債。 但係吊詭的是:美國國債被調低評級本身就係一個金融危機, 有金融危機的投資者又買返美國國債,結果美國國債價格不跌反而急升。 - #34 [lekin], 20-07-30 21:17各國狂印無問題
只怕無經濟實力之國,收唔番d鈔票,咁就之之鳥 - #33 [alphability], 20-07-30 20:56#29 全世界貨幣都狂印 <=個人認為就因為全世界印,美元地位不變,反而如果只有單一貨幣印先出事。
再講,看看人民幣印刷量後再看債務,然後未來中国有嘜實際經濟, 真喺邊個要岌岌可危? 點解要?爛塊面保護華為同宣傳無撚用5G?
先看人民幣,您懂的!
最後修改時間: 2020-07-30 21:01:41 - #32 [alphability], 20-07-30 20:54呢個十幾年月經問題,拿條見紅姨媽巾比佢地就收口
- #31 [mrbeansr], 20-07-30 20:48[#6] 美元岌岌可危?
#1 俄羅斯存放黃金在英美兩國?! 你信?
------------------------------------------------
The Russian Federation holds the world’s seventh largest monetary gold reserves of approximately 1600 tonnes, substantially ahead of eighth place Switzerland which holds 1040 tonnes
Russia has achieved this phenomenon by having regularly added substantial quantities of gold to its gold reserves over the last decade. Russia’s gold reserves are owned and managed by the Bank of Russia, Russia’s central bank, and stored in Bank of Russia vaults in Moscow and St Petersburg. - #30 [mrbeansr], 20-07-30 15:33https://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-cenbank-china/turkish-central-bank-says-used-chinese-yuan-funding-for-first-time-idUSKBN23Q2AH
JUNE 19, 2020 / 9:28 PM / A MONTH AGO
Turkish central bank says used Chinese yuan funding for first time
ISTANBUL (Reuters) - Turkey’s central bank said on Friday it had used a funding facility for Chinese yuan for the first time under a prior swap agreement with the People’s Bank of China.
In the transaction on Thursday, Turkish companies in various sectors paid, via banks, their import bills from China using yuan, the central bank said. - #29 [Chia], 20-07-30 15:18全世界貨幣都狂印, 都在扁值 若不轉做 有息或有增長力的資產, 必死
有潛力的科技股多在美國, 持有這些股變相地持有美元.
至今, 真的未能找到美元替代品 - #28 [shektau6], 20-07-30 15:00#27 reminds me of the 007 movie Goldfinger...haha
- #27 [mrbeansr], 20-07-30 14:43May be old news
https://capitalgoldexchange.com/why-are-countries-pulling-their-gold-out-of-america/
The world is loosing faith in America! Starting with Germany, then Holland, and Austria, and now even Texas has enacted a Bill to repatriate $1 billion of gold from The NY Fed’s vaults to a newly established state gold bullion depository…the Bill includes a section to prevent forced seizure from the Federal Government.
The prospect of the dollar collapsing has seen even states taking defensive measure against the dollar, loudly expressing lack of faith in our government as they too ask for their gold back.
Texas being the first state now to call for its gold to be pulled out of the Federal Reserve.
History:
Executive Order 6102 is an executive order signed on April 5, 1933, by US President required all persons to deliver on or before May 1, 1933 all gold coin, gold bullion, and gold certificates owned by them to the Federal Reserve in exchange for $20.67 per oz. The price of gold from the Treasury for international transactions was then raised by the Gold Reserve Act to $35 an ounce - 下一頁 (1 of 3)
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